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  • dilber
    07-20 05:37 AM
    Here you go - conversion should not impact this as the number of LC approvals remains the same:

    Here are all the LC approvals for India in the last seven years.

    Year, Total LC Approved, Total India
    2007 85112 24573
    2006 79782 22298
    2005 6133 1350
    2004 43582 No Info
    2003 62912 No Info
    2002 79784 No Info
    2001 77921 No Info
    2000 70204 No Info

    Lets assume about 25% of pre-PERM LCs are India based on post-PERM data. Thus for fiscal 2004 (Oct 2003 thru Sep 2004) the total LC number is 43,852. Assume 25% of that to be India based on PERM data. That gives about 11,000 India LCs in 2004 alone (All EB categories combined). If you assume an average of 2.5 dependents then the number of visas required for all India EB categories for 2004 is 27,500 (11,000*2.5). The regular quota for EB2 and EB3 combined is only about 9,800. That means 17,700 visas have to come from somewhere. I dont think those many visas are remaining for this year. Be prepared to see FIFO thrown under the bus and approvals with PDs that are all over the place. Please critique this analysis without piling on. Thoughts?

    EB2 has been on or Apr 2004 for a long time so all the ones before should have got the GC or at least most would have when we are calculation numbers for calculating retrogation We have to consider the numbers in in a particular category 11000 number as you say includes all the EB categories you have to discount out the EB1's because they have got their GCs long back. EB3 will also have to cut out form the calculation because they are not being counted. even if you consider 40% of these to be EB2 (a conservative estimate) then total GC needed including the dependents will be closer to 11000 (Total not just primary) and as Vdlrao and others have shown there should be more than this number available in this fiscal year alone. So I will have to agree with them that the numbers will go back but not all the way to Apr 2004 It should easily come in 2005 range may even come to 2006 since there were very few cases applied during 2005. Also can some one let me know if during 2005 when perm was instigated was regular labor processing also going on or was it completed stopped during that time.

    Also conversations will affect this because people converting from EB3 to EB2 will make sure that they port their priority dates and hence if say all the EB3 people from 2003 convert to EB2 and successfully port their dates it will definitely push the dates south of 2003. Did I make sense???





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  • never_giveup
    09-10 02:40 PM
    can some one pls post the link for live telecast

    thanks

    http://judiciary.house.gov/hearings/calendar.html

    Look for today's date and link next to it.





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  • singhsa3
    02-21 02:41 PM
    Assuming you are right then,
    average visa issued for EB1 ROW+Non ROW over the last 5 years have been 26K,
    Now assuming this year the demand would be close to average then. It leaves 14K for EB2
    Implying 12/2003 dates movement is very likely as 14k>5k (your number)
    I can share some estimates for EB2 India through Dec03. I wish had the cases as a database, Then we could query for all dates.

    Column 1: PD
    Column 2: Nbr. Of EB2 India pending from
    Column 3: Estimated Universe of EB2 India Pending ( to Universe ratio of 6.75%)
    Column 4: Cumulative EB2 India pending

    2000-01 0 - -
    2000-03 0 - -
    2000-04 1 15 15
    2000-06 1 15 30
    2000-08 0 - 30
    2000-11 1 15 44
    2000-12 0 - 44
    2001-01 0 - 44
    2001-03 1 15 59
    2001-04 3 44 104
    2001-05 2 30 133
    2001-06 6 89 222
    2001-07 3 44 267
    2001-08 1 15 281
    2001-09 1 15 296
    2001-10 6 89 385
    2001-11 2 30 415
    2001-12 2 30 444
    2002-01 5 74 519
    2002-02 4 59 578
    2002-03 1 15 593
    2002-04 3 44 637
    2002-05 11 163 800
    2002-06 7 104 904
    2002-07 5 74 978
    2002-08 5 74 1,052
    2002-09 5 74 1,126
    2002-10 14 207 1,333
    2002-11 16 237 1,570
    2002-12 11 163 1,733
    2003-01 13 193 1,926
    2003-02 12 178 2,104
    2003-03 20 296 2,400
    2003-04 13 193 2,593
    2003-05 16 237 2,830
    2003-06 17 252 3,081
    2003-07 22 326 3,407
    2003-08 18 267 3,674
    2003-09 18 267 3,941
    2003-10 29 430 4,370
    2003-11 17 252 4,622
    2003-12 18 267 4,889
    Total 330 4,889





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  • ArunAntonio
    08-17 05:33 PM
    Please vote -- > http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/showthread.php?t=12441



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  • nojoke
    10-20 11:33 AM
    I agree with you on this one. If you all think that GC is the only issue here, then go ahead and support Mc Cain. But if you all think that you are going to be here long term or planning on making this your home, then I think Obama is good for the country. Look where has the capitalism and free market has taken us today, nobody has a clue as to how to fix this mess, all this bail out solutions are just temporary and is pulling us further into debt trap. If there is a recession or a dollar collapse, your GC will not ensure your job.

    Free market is good only for the top execs and big corporations. There should be some regulation so that they do not become irresponsible in their conduct of business. Without regulation, it is like letting a wild bull run in a china shop, it will knock everything in its way. Republicans policy is to take all the broken pieces of the china ware, put some adhesive on them and put them back on shelf, they do not want to reign in the wild bull unlike democrats.

    Thank you. My point is that if the economy is good, companies will lobby for pro immigration bills. If the economy goes bad, the chances for green card goes down with many of us losing job. No party will touch immigration when the country goes to recession. And people don't mind pro immigration bill if the economy is doing good. Political parties are not pro or anti immigrants. It is the lobbying of the large companies that makes them pro immigrant. The companies lobby for immigration bills when they need more skilled labor...





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  • mlvats
    06-10 10:18 PM
    thanks very much



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  • Jitamitra
    06-08 06:04 PM
    Same old stuff. I dont see a light at the end of the tunnel till some immigration reform bill gets shoved in or a comprehensive immigration bill is introduced.

    The obama administration is not in a mood to touch immigration and we live to be scape goats of policies back from 90's.





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  • gc_on_demand
    02-09 02:57 PM
    One immigration business shop says that visas are being wasted and that's our proof. We are now ready to list the reasons why visa numbers are being wasted. Not only the visas have been wasted but according to you the reason for wastage are -

    1.) Inefficiency
    2.) Directive from the administration

    But before that, can anybody prove conclusively that visa numbers were wasted. What is the proof? Just because my application is pending doesn't mean that USCIS is wasting green card numbers. Give us all proof that visa numbers are being wasted. Where is the proof. Around 20 days back I wrote an email to the immigration business shop asking for proof of waste of visa numbers. No response.

    And reply you will never get.



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  • ramee
    06-28 11:29 PM
    Thank you Dhundhun.

    For some reason I thought the difference between Welcome Email and Card Ordered email is only couple of days.





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  • gcdreamer05
    03-09 12:34 PM
    This is insane, they are moving 15 days in 1 calendar month.

    So going by this pace for EB3

    mar 2002 - march 2011
    mar 2003 - march 2013
    mar 2004 - march 2015
    mar 2005 - march 2017
    mar 2006 - march 2019

    i will get gc on mar 2019 ? after 16 years of stay in USA ??? that total bull shit !!!!!!!!!!!!



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  • WillIBLucky
    12-31 07:36 PM
    I thought you said you posted in detroit website as well? Have you not? Just an update .. Following in following websites have posted with classifieds.

    I am looking forward to more participation or other ideas from other Members ... or it's better I close this thread :)

    Suggest ,comment or post a classified in a web site you know.

    Following regional web sites have been posted with claissfied. Catch you folks later.

    1)New York
    2)Los Angeles
    3)Chicago .....................www.chicagosamachar.com
    4)Houston
    5)Philadelphia
    6)Phoenix
    7)San Antonio
    8)San Diego ................. www.sasural.com/san_diego
    9)Dallas
    10)San Jose
    11)Detroit
    12)Indianapolis
    13)Jacksonville
    14)San Fransisco
    15)Columbus
    16)Austin
    17)Memphis
    18)Baltimore
    19)Fort Worth
    20)Charlotte
    21)El Paso
    22)Milwaukee
    23)Seattle
    24)Boston ...................... www.aapkamanoranjan.com
    25)Denver
    26)Luisville
    27)Washington
    28)Nashville
    29)Las Vegas
    30)Portland .....................www.eknazar.com
    31)Oklahoma City
    32)Tuscon
    33) Atlanta .....................www.desigate.com,
    34) Kanasas City ..............www.kcdesi.com
    35) St. Louis ...................www.myilaaka.com





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  • abracadabra102
    07-30 10:06 AM
    Thanks abracadabra for agreeing to the point. It is really funny isn't it, when you notice people fighting over God's? Just the thought of fighting to support your God shows that you really dont belive in his/her strength or you dont really know what God is!! If thats the case, how would that power qualify to be GOD?? Whether it is in Inda/pakisthan/middle east/africa, wherever people fight to save their God/gods are just fighting to avoid confronting their own insecurity:-) What is the difference between me getting insulted on seeing Ganeshas picture on a beer bottle or Jesus's picture on the toilet seat and a circle with two dots as eyes on a person's BUTT, which he claims to represent ME (thomas)? Ofcourse I know that the circle with 2 dotts on his BUTT doesn't represent me so is the same about Ganesha / Jesus. Who has seen these folks?? The big truth is NOBODY!! EVER!! Imagine how would I look if I stood around crying like a baby, when the guy walks around with his BUTT exposed showing the circle with two dotts claiming that it acurately represents me?? Ganesha, Jesus, Allah and Krishna are all laughing. Laughing not at the person who shows off as insulting them, but actually (ironically) at us who stand around crying about that. Belive me this is true!! we had a conference call last night and all three of them were laughing :D:D:D

    LOL.

    The issue of GOD and religion has been discussed ad nauseum by many great thinkers and philosophers (Spinoza, Voltaire, Hume, Russel etc.). Most of us do not read their opinions and try to broaden our knowledge. We never get beyond what our parents taught us about GOD and religion. What is worse still is that the allegorical descriptions in religious texts are now treated as facts and we often end up arguing over these as well.

    Having said that, there is nothing wrong in believing in GOD. There is also nothing wrong if someone is not convinced about the existence of GOD. There are valid philosophical arguments for both cases. Lack of mutual respect and failing to see others point of view is what is causing this rift.



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  • sammas
    07-12 05:16 PM
    Where does it say in the bulletin that it will move in the next bulletin?

    QUOTE=sammas;1968386]Sorry to say this but 1st March is not considered. Hopefully your PD will be current in next Sep 2010 bulletin. Good Luck![/QUOTE]
    Calgirl,

    If you look at my post, I mentioned the word "HOPEFULLY" and also I did not say that it is mentioned in the current bulletin. I was just trying to be OPTIMISTIC.





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  • RNGC
    09-19 09:38 AM
    I have registered this domain. If needed, please send me PM; I can initiate the transfer process. I have already added a forwarding address to the immigrationvoice.com.

    This is my from of contribution.

    Excellent....Our Logo should also change to "Legal Immigration voice"...

    Smart thinking memyselfandus!



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  • 485Mbe4001
    07-11 02:49 PM
    Why didnt the EB2 ROW number trickle to ROW EB3 first?

    I think all the unused EB1 and EB2-ROW visa number trickles down to EB2 - India/China and thats the main reason for a big jump in EB2-India cut off dates.





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  • crazyghoda
    02-13 02:50 PM
    All,

    Thank you for supporting me during this stage. The RFE was for employer verification. Luckily I just managed to get a new job and started this week. I have an offer letter as well as got the HR department to provide an Employment Verification Letter stating my name, title and salary. Now I need to work with my lawyer to respond to the RFE.

    Thanks again to all who responded. I'll keep you folks updated once I submit my RFE response.



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  • arunmohan
    06-06 05:22 PM
    Enjoy your green life. We don't know when we will see approval for EB3 India.





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  • sayantan76
    02-22 07:55 PM
    I agree with you.
    This guy googler just wants 5 minutes of fame and attention. By talking about such sensitive information on the forum, he is risking anything good that can happen for us in future. DOS can get unhappy with this official for discussing such information. I can understand the motives of lawyers for announcing on their website. They want publicity and business for themselves by showing off their connections.
    Any Govt official who mentions any piece of information to a member of general public or press does it with full knowledge that the information can become public knowledge....so either the information shared by this person with googler is not sensitive (most likely the case since generic USCIS modus operandi in making available visa numbers and moving dates should be public information) or the person does not care that sensitive info gets leaked. So Googler did the right thing in sharing the info

    Also - i dont understand the logic that having this information could risk any good that might be coming our way - its not that googler's source is making any special favors or moving the dates faster than they should....all he is doing is moving dates as per USCIS policy.....so even if USCIS gets pissed off with this person and replaces him - the next incumbent would also move dates in a similar manner (nothing works like "precedence" in Govt).......the only harm coming our way is that we would have lost a good info source





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  • Mr. Brown
    03-10 04:29 PM
    Hello,
    I strongly suggest that we focus our time and efforts on a single and achievable target in this calendar year 2009.
    Recapturing unused visa numbers from the last two decades would help us eliminate the retrogression issue. Other changes like Comprehensive Immigration Reform, Eliminating per country limits etc would require a leap of faith in the political process and it is unlikely to be achieved in this calendar year. The economy, unemployment rates, health care etc are bound to dominate the legislative agenda this year.

    I suggest writing a petition or letter to the White House and the administrative offices strongly urging them to recapture the unused visa numbers.
    I think we should follow the KISS ("Keep it Simple, Stupid") Principle to achieve this target.
    If we add any other immigration provisions, it would increase the complexity of the legislation and it is bound to fail.
    Could the administrators of this forum please consider my suggestion of focusing on recapturing the visa numbers and assign this task the highest priority.

    By re-capturing the visa numbers, we are not asking for any change in the immigration laws. We are simply asking to use the visa numbers that had been lost due to inefficient processing by the USCIS.

    Let us start preparing a petition and create a dedicated fund to achieve this goal of visa number recapturing.

    Thank you.
    Great thought about being focussed on one topic that doesn't even need a "reform"!Simplest solution to the retrogression problem I have heard so far.





    chanduv23
    09-19 06:29 AM
    The reason there were so many placards was - we were expecting atleast 10000 people to show up and with the kind of poor response we got, we were expecting atleast 5000 and thats why there was 700 banners ordered.

    If we had the magic figure 10000, the impact could have been marvellous. The banner count would have been appropriate

    With 1500 to 2000 - every individual had a banner or a placard or a flag.


    Mark's speech was hillarious - but had very strong messages - THESE ARE THINGS THAT NEED SPECIAL SKILLS - AND MARK PULLED IT THROUGH EXTREMELY WELL. Mark is a pround member of the Tri State Chapter and his contributions towards the cause are amazing

    Robert Sun (LIA) - was good. Well he was praising Indians and CHinese. Nothing wrong - but yes can be more comprehensive in nature.

    We had people from all nationalities - and a lot of people seem to be silent supporters of IV - very passionate about this organization.

    Jay was at his best - He took on Lou Dobbs - Which was the best part.

    The only lesson I would say that we must learn is - low numbers - YES. The turnout should have been atleast 10000 - though 2000 is good. Just proves how selfish those free riders are who can let down your own community who are helping you.





    sheela
    10-16 10:14 AM
    Guys,

    Someone left a red dot on post with message: " tells of your lack of ideas".

    I never said that this is the only option left and we have to do this. This was one of the proposal / suggestion. We welcomed other suggestions too! What I wanted and I still want is to do something, I wanted to have a brain storming so that we can come up with some better positive idea. This is not new. We had similar hurdles when tried to request people to promote HR 5882 and other events.

    Above note is a sign of complete loser. This type of people don't have guts to come up in front and express their views because they really don't have guts to do anything. I am not ashamed that I proposed flower campaignwhere there are other possibly better options available.

    I still strongly believe that doing something is always better than cursing something who is trying to do something or doing nothing.

    Seriously, its not illegal lobbies that we are more threatened by. Its our own people.

    I agree we need to do something big to end never-ending regression.

    Let us organise:
    "WORK-ROUND-THE-CLOCK non-stop for 24 hours"

    This will generate lot of interest in media for the hard-working immigrant community

    It will get us support from our Employers/Managers & hurt none

    It is easy to organise at institution level- be it University, Hospitals/Corporate sector or R&D. I believe participation & effect will be much more than we expect. With little publicity -It may become a news of the day

    I tell you what= during our doctoral studies at a prestigious institute in india. we did this and it really worked

    WE can do some polling here and select a date for this event. I may say: Let us start this non-stop event a day-before THANKSGIVING DAY and end on the morning of thanksgiving day.



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